본문
- 부서: 재정경제연구실
- 연구책임: 조용준 연구위원
- 연구진: 박민근
- 보고서 번호: SRI-정책-2016-19
- 과제구분: 정책과제
- 발행일: 2016-10-31
∣차 례∣
제1장 서 론 ············································································································· 11
제1절 연구의 배경 및 목적 ·········································································· 11
제2절 연구의 범위 및 방법 ········································································· 13
제2장 실업 및 고용 이론 분석 ············································································ 15
제1절 실업에 관한 이론 ··············································································· 15
제2절 고용에 관한 이론 ·············································································· 23
제3절 실업·고용지표 개념 및 산출방법 ·················································· 28
제4절 지역고용통계 생성 매커니즘 ··························································· 34
제5절 지역고용통계 작성의 문제점 및 개선 방안 ··································· 41
제3장 노동시장 현황 분석 ··················································································· 43
제1절 우리나라의 노동시장 현황 ······························································· 43
제2절 수원시 및 주변도시 노동시장 현황 ················································ 66
제3절 수원시 취업확률 Linear Probability Model(LPM) 분석 ············ 81
제4절 수원시 선형 확률 모형(LPM) 분석 결과 ······································· 84
제4장 실업률·고용률 분석 모형 및 데이터 ····················································· 87
제1절 연구 가설 및 변수 설정 ··································································· 87
제2절 모형 설계 ···························································································· 88
제3절 데이터 검증 ························································································ 89
제5장 분석 결과 ····································································································· 91
제1절 실업률 분석 ························································································· 91
제2절 고용률 분석 ························································································ 97
제6장 결론 및 정책 제언 ··················································································· 103
제1절 결론 ···································································································· 103
제2절 정책 제언 ·························································································· 105